Montana Senate Race to Decide Senate Control; Local Economy Thrilled by Campaign Ad Spending Bonanza

Montana Senate Race to Decide Senate Control; Local Economy Thrilled by Campaign Ad Spending Bonanza

3 minute read
Published: 6/7/2024

The upcoming 2024 Senate race in Montana is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in the country, and Montanans are gearing up for a political showdown that could determine control of the U.S. Senate. Jon Tester, the last remaining Democrat in non-judicial statewide office in Montana, faces off against Tim Sheehy, a Minnesota native and first-time candidate endorsed by former President Donald Trump and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

The Contenders

Jon Tester and Tim Sheehy both secured victories in their respective party primaries, setting the stage for a high-stakes general election (Fox, CNN, NBC, New York Post). Tester’s campaign leans heavily on his Montana roots and his image as a local farmer, aiming to underscore his deep connections to the state (CNN, NBC). Meanwhile, Sheehy, who has loaned his campaign about $2 million, touts his background in manufacturing—a narrative somewhat marred by accusations from Democrats branding him as an outsider and "carpetbagger" (CNN).

The Stakes

According to the Cook Political Report, the Montana Senate race is one of three "toss-up" Senate contests in 2024 (Fox). This race could ultimately determine which party controls the Senate, adding extra layers of intrigue and national interest (CNN, NBC, New York Post). Tester has narrowly won his previous elections and currently holds a slim lead over Sheehy according to the RealClearPolitics average of polls (New York Post).

Campaign Ad Spending Frenzy

The clash between Tester and Sheehy has already spurred a spending spree on advertising, to the tune of over $112 million. Local TV stations, radio networks, and print media outlets are gleefully cashing in on what can only be described as a political gold rush. If the local economy had a face, it would be grinning from ear to ear—probably while updating its yacht insurance policy.

Battle of Narratives

Tester and Sheehy's campaigns have employed contrasting strategies. Tester recently rolled out a campaign ad highlighting his work on the 2022 PACT Act to support veterans (CNN). Tester’s campaign manager pointed out his broad base of support, which includes Republicans, independents, veterans, Native Americans, women, rural voters, young voters, and seniors (Fox). The montage of supporters could play every Monday night on a PBS before-and-after segment and still require an intermission.

On the other side, Sheehy's campaign has released an ad linking Tester to Trump's conviction in his New York trial (CNN, NBC). Sheehy's staunch defense of his business record, emphasizing his efforts in manufacturing without dependence on China, might as well be the punchline to a running joke about global trade policies (CNN).

Local Impact

Outside groups have accused Sheehy of threatening access to public lands and operating a "hobby ranch" (CNN). It's a line of attack that harks back to debates as old as time—or at least as old as Montana’s statehood.

For the Montanans who aren't directly involved in politics, the influx of campaign dollars is a welcome distraction from the usual rhythms of local life. The Senate race has morphed into a civic duty/entertainment mashup, much like watching a reality TV show where the stakes are ludicrously high but also sort of entertaining to analyze over a cup of coffee at the local diner.

The Conclusion

As the campaign barrels forward, the advertisements, endorsements, and policy jabs will only intensify. With all eyes on Montana, this Senate race promises to be as unpredictable as it is important. For now, the only sure winners are the local businesses relishing this economic windfall. So, in a way, the Senate race is already providing a much-needed boost to Montana’s economy, one televised accusation at a time.

And so, the race in Montana continues, captivating voters, pundits, and anyone with an eye for the absurdities of modern American politics. Watch closely, take notes, and perhaps invest in local programming—after all, it seems Montana's 2024 Senate race is the gift that just keeps giving.