Debate Fail: Biden Flubs Turn Trump's Polls Golden

Debate Fail: Biden Flubs Turn Trump's Polls Golden

4 minute read
Published: 7/4/2024

In the wake of the first presidential debate, Donald Trump has surged ahead of President Biden, leading by six points in multiple polls and sparking Democratic worries about Biden's age and effectiveness.

With Trump's debate performance earning rave reviews and Biden's age becoming a growing concern—even more than it already was—Democrats are now contemplating whether the incumbent president should hit the 'snooze' button on his re-election campaign. The latest New York Times/Siena and Wall Street Journal polls have Trump not only leading but also widening the gap with Biden, making the Democratic Party look more like a support group for the sleep-deprived.

The New York Times/Siena College poll has painted a rather grim picture for President Biden, showing Trump leading among likely voters by six percentage points, standing at 49% to Biden's 43%. Among registered voters, the figures aren't any rosier with Trump at 49% and Biden trailing at 41%. This wasn't an isolated result either; the Wall Street Journal poll mirrored this sentiment with Trump leading Biden 48% to 42% among registered voters. It's safe to say that the debate might as well have been an infomercial for Trump's campaign.

From the previous New York Times/Siena survey, Trump has increased his lead over Biden by two points, suggesting that the debate might have prompted more than just eyebrows being raised. The Wall Street Journal poll also noted a significant shift, showing a four-point increase since their last poll conducted in late February. If Trump continues this trend, we might need new adjectives to describe the word 'momentum.'

Biden's performance in the debate seemed to be the beginning of a rather grand unravelling. Widespread concern emerged within the Democratic Party, leading to calls for Biden to reconsider his re-election bid. It's not every day you find members of a political party questioning the abilities of their own candidate with the fervor usually reserved for questioning why toast falls buttered side down.

One startling revelation from the New York Times/Siena poll is that 74% of registered voters believe Biden is too old to be an effective president. In contrast, only 42% felt the same about Trump. This has exacerbated the whispers within the Democratic ranks, turning them into rather loud clarion calls for a new torchbearer. Rumor has it that the phrase 'pass the baton' has never been Googled more frequently.

Adding fuel to the fire, Biden's job approval rating has plummeted to just 34% among registered voters. So, the opinion seems pretty unanimous; if job performance was graded on a curve, Biden might just have one of those unfortunate downward-facing slopes. The debate reviews didn't help his case, with 60% of registered voters opining that Trump outperformed Biden. If Biden was hoping for some post-debate glow, he might want to check under piles of 'could do better' cards.

Additionally, 58% of registered voters believe that Biden has made the country worse since taking office. With such sentiments in the air, it may be high time for certain re-election campaign slogans to include the words 'This time, with feeling!'

Despite the train of doubt and the bandwagon of concern, Biden is determined to stay the course. Intent on continuing his re-election campaign, he seems unfazed by the comparisons to rival Trump, and undeterred by the increasingly vocal calls for him to step aside. If nothing else, one has to admire his perseverance – just like one admires the persistence of a cold that refuses to leave despite the best efforts of an entire medicine cabinet.

It's not just general sentiment that's proving troublesome for Biden. According to the New York Times/Siena poll, Trump leads Biden among Hispanic registered voters by nine percentage points, at 50% to Biden's 41%. He also commands a significant lead among independent voters, the figures standing at 47% to Biden's 37%. One might say that Biden's appeal among these groups is becoming as robust as a paper straw in a milkshake.

Moreover, concerns about Biden's age have spiked significantly within his own party. Among Democrats, those unsettled by Biden's age have gone up eight percentage points to 59%. And when it comes to independent voters, nearly eight in ten share the sentiment that Biden might be too old to adequately serve in the White House. It seems that the age question is no longer just a whisper but a chorus ringing through the halls of the Capitol.

As Biden's campaign faces these turbulent waters, it's clear that every move from now until the elections will be closely watched. One thing's for sure, the debates have revealed significant challenges for President Biden. It's almost like watching a soap opera where you can't decide if you're more concerned about the plot twists or the cast's age.