Japanese Stocks Bounce Back, Forget '87 Was a Thing

Japanese Stocks Bounce Back, Forget '87 Was a Thing

3 minute read
Published: 8/6/2024

After a historic plummet, Japan's stock market soared on Tuesday, recovering 8% in a dramatic rebound driven by a stronger yen and assurances from Prime Minister Kishida amid global economic jitters.

This surprising recovery follows a disastrous Monday where Japan's Nikkei 225 suffered its worst single-day loss since the infamous 1987 Black Monday crash. The bounce-back was fueled by the Bank of Japan's decision to raise rates, boosting the yen to a seven-month high, and strong words of confidence from Prime Minister Fumio Kishida. While Japan's market performed a phoenix-like rise, regional players such as South Korea's Kospi and Kosdaq and Hong Kong's Hang Seng also saw positive movements, offering a delicate glimmer of hope amid the ongoing global economic angst.

Japan's heavyweights, including trading houses like Marubeni and Softbank Group Corp, basked in the glory of the rebound. Both companies experienced significant upticks after the prior day's chaos. Surviving a financial nosedive worthy of a round of applause, these trading titans managed to stave off further despair, at least for now.

The Nikkei 225 index regained as much as 10% early on Tuesday before modestly paring gains to an 8% increase. This comes hot on the heels of a dramatic 12% drop the previous session, the sort of plunge that makes rollercoaster rides look relaxing. Joining the Nikkei was the broader Topix index, echoing the sentiment with comparable gains.

However, the celebration was not limited to Japan. South Korea's Kospi showed resilience by rebounding more than 3%, with the Kosdaq soaring over 4.5%. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong and mainland China's CSI 300 experienced marginal gains, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 opened higher. It seems that panic has a strange way of uniting global markets in a universal ballet of bouncing back.

The yen, flexing its muscles like it had just benched an impressive amount, strengthened to a seven-month high against the US dollar. This surge followed the Bank of Japan's decision to raise rates, a move clearly required to jog memories of the good old days—like seven months ago. But seriously, this hawkish monetary policy stance added another layer of volatility to an already tumultuous market.

While Japan's markets were busy recovering from their hangover, the US stock market had also experienced significant declines on Monday. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite posted their worst sessions since September 2022. Concerns of a looming US recession and the rapid unwinding of yen carry trades ignited a global market fear that was hard to shake off.

Oil prices did their part to contribute to the global financial mood swings, with both Brent crude and US West Texas Intermediate crude seeing increases in Tuesday's trade. At this point, if the markets were a soap opera, oil prices would be that recurring character constantly stirring the pot.

Back in Japan, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida playing the role of the ultimate cheerleader, urged calm across the nation. In his optimistic outlook for the economy, he cited the first rise in real wages in over two years. A nifty reminder that somewhere behind those stock charts, real people are seeing positive changes in their wallets.

Speaking of real people, Japan's June household spending figures seemed determined to spoil the party with a larger-than-expected fall. But in an interesting twist, the average monthly income per household climbed. A slight conundrum, but Japan appears bent on proving it can have its cake and eat it too, even if it's more of a theoretical dessert at present.

Analysts from Moody's Analytics added their unique blend of doom and gloom, as they expressed concerns about a potential US recession further contributing to market instability. It appears Wall Street has been passing around the same crystal ball, with predictions more aligned than synchronized swimmers.

Economists, forever the pragmatists, caution that while this market rebound is a promising sign, short-term volatility is still very much a guest star in this ongoing financial drama. They propose the market hasn't quite hit rock bottom yet, leaving investors with the comforting certainty that unpredictability remains predictably unpredictable.